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2

Candy Warhol

7yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 3 · OR 54

Brighton · Play Your Multiples at matchbook.com Handicap · 5f 215y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

On a long losing sequence but several good in-frame efforts to his name, giving a good account from the front when length second of 8 to My Mate Mackley in handicap over C&D 8 days ago. Blinkers replace usual cheekpieces and he should be bang there.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength85%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Bath 26/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 60 · 5f10y Fm 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 60 par26/055OR 606 @ Doncaster 06/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 59 · 6f2y GF 135 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 59 par5 @ Ffos Las 23/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 58 · 5f Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/06/2026 · OR 58 par23/065OR 585 @ Wolverhampton 06/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 56 · 6f20y Std 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Wolverhampton 21/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 54 · 6f20y Std 124 · beat its mark21/07/2026 · OR 54 par21/076OR 546 @ Bath 31/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 54 · 5f160y Fm 124 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 54 par2 @ Brighton 23/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 53 · 5f215y Goo 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 53 par23/082OR 536 @ Wolverhampton 15/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 55 · 6f20y Std 133 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Brighton 28/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 54 · 5f215y Goo 129 · beat its mark28/09/2026 · OR 54 par28/096OR 54projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-28Brighton62nd2nd0
2026-09-15Wolverhampton65th5th0
2026-08-23Brighton23rd-2th+4
2026-07-31Bath63rd3rd0
2026-07-21Wolverhampton62nd2nd0
2026-07-06Wolverhampton54th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/056/0723/0828/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 67/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength92%

Delivery trend +0.9% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/05/20264th11/142%40%-0.02
06/06/20267th12/137%60%+0.23
23/06/20264th8/158%25%-0.33
06/07/20264th12/137%70%+0.33
21/07/20262nd7/282%90%+0.08
31/07/20263rd15/890%50%-0.40
23/08/20263rd16/116%87%+0.71
15/09/20265th4/179%64%-0.15
28/09/20262nd4/179%86%+0.07