IvyArcIvyArc
9

Fai Fai

7yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 10 · OR 46

Brighton · Play Your Multiples at matchbook.com Handicap · 5f 215y

#6

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Brighton regular who enters the reckoning on a series of placed efforts in 2025. Yet to get going this season, however.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength74%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Brighton 08/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 48 · 5f215y Gd 128 · beat its mark08/08/2025 · OR 48 par8/086OR 486 @ Lingfield 08/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 48 · 6f1y Std 121 · beat its mark08/09/2025 · OR 48 par5 @ Brighton 15/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 48 · 5f215y Sft 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/09/2025 · OR 48 par15/095OR 486 @ Brighton 07/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 51 · 5f215y Goo 131 · beat its mark07/10/2025 · OR 51 par6 @ Brighton 16/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 51 · 5f215y GF 132 · beat its mark16/10/2025 · OR 51 par16/106OR 515 @ Lingfield 25/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 50 · 6f1y Std 116 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/03/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Lingfield 30/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 49 · 6f1y Std 129 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 49 par30/046OR 496 @ Brighton 09/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 47 · 6f210y Gd 135 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 47 par5 @ Brighton 01/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 47 · 6f210y Goo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 47 par1/095OR 47projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Brighton55th4th+1
2026-06-09Brighton63rd3rd0
2026-04-30Lingfield67th7th0
2026-03-25Lingfield510th9th+1
2025-10-16Brighton63rd3rd0
2025-10-07Brighton63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/087/1030/041/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 5-9 · tight 67/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength20%

Delivery trend -2.0% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/08/20252nd6/168%89%+0.20
08/09/20256th11/142%38%-0.05
15/09/20252nd11/271%80%+0.09
07/10/20253rd6/168%82%+0.13
16/10/20253rd9/276%80%+0.04
25/03/202610th80/10%18%+0.18
30/04/20267th9/276%33%-0.43
09/06/20263rd7/282%71%-0.10
01/09/20265th50/10%20%+0.20