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6

Diomed Spirit

6yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 8 · OR 62

Brighton · Download The Matchbook Exchange App Handicap · 5f 60y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

91%

Place Prob

69%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Returned to form for new yard of late, runner-up in a big-field 6f handicap here flanked by C&D victories. Had a bit up his sleeve latterly so major player after latest 4 lb rise.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lingfield 10/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 77 · 5f6y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/02/2026 · OR 77 par10/024OR 774 @ Southwell 09/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 76 · 4f214y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/04/2026 · OR 76 par5 @ Wolverhampton 21/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 74 · 5f21y Std 135 · below its mark21/04/2026 · OR 74 par21/045OR 745 @ Bath 04/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 57 · 5f10y Gd 119 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 57 par5 @ Bath 26/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 56 · 5f10y Fm 121 · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 56 par26/055OR 566 @ Windsor 29/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 54 · 5f21y GF 132 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Brighton 07/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 55 · 5f60y Goo 135 · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 55 par7/086OR 552 @ Brighton 23/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 58 · 5f215y Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 58 par5 @ Brighton 01/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 58 · 5f60y Goo 118 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 58 par1/095OR 58projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Brighton51st1st0
2026-08-23Brighton22nd-2th+3
2026-08-07Brighton61st2nd−1
2026-06-29Windsor62nd3rd−1
2026-05-26Bath56th6th0
2026-05-04Bath53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/024/057/081/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 85/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +7.3% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/02/20265th9/153%0%-0.53
09/04/20266th20/10%0%0.00
21/04/20266th14/126%17%-0.10
04/05/20263rd18/15%60%+0.55
26/05/20266th11/142%0%-0.42
29/06/20262nd18/15%92%+0.86
07/08/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
23/08/20262nd17/255%93%+0.38
01/09/20261st2/189%100%+0.11