Duskaura
3yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 3 · OR 69
Brighton · Download The Matchbook Exchange App Handicap · 5f 60y
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Sandown | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Brighton | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Nottingham | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Goodwood | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-31 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |
| 17/02/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/03/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 31/03/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 07/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |