Sandscreendeliverd
4yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 4 · OR 62
Brighton · Download The Matchbook Exchange App Handicap · 5f 60y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Windsor | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-08-28 | Goodwood | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Lingfield | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Lingfield | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Sandown | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 91% | +0.75 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 18/05/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 56% | -0.23 |
| 12/06/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 14/08/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 14/09/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 64% | +0.08 |