3

Sho Dominic

2yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 3 · OR 43

Fairmount Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

11%

Place Prob

16%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fairmount Park 18/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 5f 12018/07C6C6 @ Fairmount Park 11/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 41 · 5f Fas 120 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 41 par11/08C6OR 41C6 @ Fairmount Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 39 · 5f Fas 120 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 39 par1/09C6OR 39projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Fairmount Park?4th4th0
2026-08-11Fairmount Park?3rd3rd0
2026-07-18Fairmount Park?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0711/081/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 8-8 · tight 77/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -23.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/20262nd5/174%80%+0.06
11/08/20263rd10/382%71%-0.11
01/09/20264th7/282%40%-0.42