4
Slick Henry
2yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 4 · OR 40
Fairmount Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +16.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 11/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |