4
Color Me Fast
6yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 62
Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-07 | Turfway Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 59/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength37%
Delivery trend -7.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/09/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 27/12/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 18% | -0.19 |
| 07/01/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 09/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 04/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 43% | -0.44 |