7
D' Argonaut
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 7 · OR 39
Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Hawthorne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hawthorne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 59/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength10%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 04/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 21/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 01/09/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |