1
Flathead Finale
5yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 47
Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Fairmount Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength65%
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 57% | -0.30 |
| 12/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 14/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 05/05/2026 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 9% | -0.54 |
| 26/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 18/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |