Sassy Prancelot
5yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 3 · OR 72
Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Remington Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-03-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-01-31 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-01-03 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2024-11-04 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2024-10-11 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/2024 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 25/07/2024 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 05/09/2024 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 22% | -0.49 |
| 11/10/2024 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 04/11/2024 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 03/01/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |
| 31/01/2025 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 25% | -0.63 |
| 15/03/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 30/08/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |