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2

Frankie P

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 2 · OR 86

Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

88%

Place Prob

66%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Hawthorne 07/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 5f Fm 1257/06C6C6 @ Fairmount Park 04/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 82 · 6f 126 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 82 par4/07C6OR 82C6 @ Fairmount Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 83 · 6f Gd 126 · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 83 par25/07C6OR 83C6 @ Fairmount Park 29/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 83 · 6f 126 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 83 par29/08C6OR 83projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Fairmount Park?1st1st0
2026-07-25Fairmount Park?3rd3rd0
2026-07-04Fairmount Park?1st2nd−1
2026-06-07Hawthorne?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/064/0725/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 62/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength79%

Delivery trend -2.9% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/06/20263rd10/147%50%+0.03
04/07/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
25/07/20263rd7/491%67%-0.24
29/08/20261st1/195%100%+0.05