
Good To Be Prince
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 6 · OR 91
Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-08-29 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Hawthorne | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-10-23 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 21/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 04/10/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 23/10/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 02/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 23/09/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |