6

Good To Be Prince

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 6 · OR 91

Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength22%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fairmount Park 22/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 87 · 6f 118 · beat its mark22/07/2025 · OR 87 par22/07C6OR 87C5 @ Hawthorne 21/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 89 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/08/2025 · OR 89 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 04/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 93 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark04/10/2025 · OR 93 par4/10C6OR 93C5 @ Hawthorne 23/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 96 · 5f110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/10/2025 · OR 96 parC5 @ Hawthorne 02/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 94 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 94 par2/11C5OR 94C5 @ Hawthorne 03/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 86 · 5f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 86 parC5 @ Hawthorne 21/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 81 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/05/2026 · OR 81 par21/05C5OR 81C6 @ Fairmount Park 29/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 78 · 6f 124 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 78 parC8 @ Churchill Downs 23/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 86 · 6f 121 · below its mark23/09/2026 · OR 86 par23/09C8OR 86projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23Churchill Downs?4th6th−2
2026-08-29Fairmount Park?3rd3rd0
2026-05-21Hawthorne?5th4th+1
2026-05-03Hawthorne?5th4th+1
2025-11-02Hawthorne?7th6th+1
2025-10-23Hawthorne?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0723/1021/0523/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength65%

Delivery trend -2.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/07/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
21/08/20252nd4/179%80%+0.01
04/10/20252nd13/891%83%-0.08
23/10/20254th7/282%40%-0.42
02/11/20257th25/10%45%+0.45
03/05/20265th10/147%0%-0.47
21/05/20265th10/147%20%-0.27
29/08/20263rd7/491%60%-0.31
23/09/20264th10/147%50%+0.03