5
I Need More Money
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 5 · OR 73
Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-07-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-04-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 7-7 · tight 90/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 16/10/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 25/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 21/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 12/05/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 09/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |