3
King Anthony
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 3 · OR 78
Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-10-23 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-10-10 | Keeneland | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2025-07-26 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-08 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · tight 76/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 30/03/2025 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |
| 04/05/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 08/07/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 26/07/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 10/10/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |
| 23/10/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |