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Rockdust

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 1 · OR 74

Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

12%

Place Prob

24%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fairmount Park 04/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 6f 1204/07C6C6 @ Fairmount Park 21/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 65 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark21/07/2026 · OR 65 par21/07C6OR 65C6 @ Fairmount Park 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 69 · 6f 120 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 69 par29/08C6OR 69projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Fairmount Park?2nd2nd0
2026-07-21Fairmount Park?1st2nd−1
2026-07-04Fairmount Park?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0721/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 3-5 · tight 65/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength51%

Delivery trend +8.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/07/20263rd7/282%67%-0.15
21/07/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
29/08/20262nd5/174%75%+0.01