5
Code Runner
9yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 5 · OR 90
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Starter Allowance · 1m 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 76/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/2026 | 2nd | 1/3 | 98% | 67% | -0.32 |
| 07/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 04/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 15/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |