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Justiceonemoretime

6yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 2 · OR 80

Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Starter Allowance · 1m 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength68%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 21/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 80 · 1m70y 122 · below its mark21/10/2025 · OR 80 par21/10C8OR 80C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 12/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 77 · 1m70y Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/11/2025 · OR 77 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 05/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 72 · 5f110y Fas 124 · below its mark05/05/2026 · OR 72 par5/05C8OR 72C8 @ Fairmount Park 23/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 69 · 1m 124 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 69 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 76 · 1m110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 76 par16/06C5OR 76C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 76 · 1m110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 76 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 80 · 1m110y Slo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 80 par28/07C5OR 80C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 19/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 82 · 1m110y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 82 parC0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 1m110y 12411/09C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?12th12th0
2026-08-19Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th2nd+2
2026-07-28Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st-1th+2
2026-07-09Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd1st+2
2026-06-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st-1th+2
2026-05-23Fairmount Park?2nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/1023/0528/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-5 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength56%

Delivery trend -4.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/10/20257th20/10%14%+0.14
12/11/20254th33/10%67%+0.67
05/05/20264th20/10%40%+0.40
23/05/20262nd10/147%80%+0.33
16/06/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
09/07/20263rd14/126%60%+0.34
28/07/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
19/08/20264th10/147%50%+0.03
11/09/202612th33/10%0%0.00