1
Instant Classic
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 1 · OR 48
Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 65/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +18.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 04/11/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 04/08/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 19/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |