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2

Midnight Master

3yo Colt · 8-8 · Draw 2 · OR 54

Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼2
Strength91%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fairmount Park 09/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS9/05C6C6 @ Fairmount Park 30/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 56 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 56 par30/05C6OR 56C6 @ Fairmount Park 20/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 52 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 52 par20/06C6OR 52C6 @ Fairmount Park 01/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 54 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 54 par1/08C6OR 54C9 @ Fairmount Park 19/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 55 · 6f 120 · below its mark19/09/2026 · OR 55 par19/09C9OR 55projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Fairmount Park?4th4th0
2026-08-01Fairmount Park?5th2nd+3
2026-06-20Fairmount Park?5th2nd+3
2026-05-30Fairmount Park?5th2nd+3
2026-05-09Fairmount Park?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0530/0520/061/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 49/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength10%

Delivery trend -8.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/05/20266th16/116%38%+0.22
30/05/20265th20/10%60%+0.60
20/06/20265th20/10%60%+0.60
01/08/20265th25/10%64%+0.64
19/09/20264th5/174%50%-0.24