IvyArcIvyArc
3

Premor

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 3 · OR 47

Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength46%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fairmount Park 09/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 5f 120 · HIGHER CLASS9/09C6C6 @ Fairmount Park 30/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 45 · 5f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/09/2025 · OR 45 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 14/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 48 · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/10/2025 · OR 48 par14/10C6OR 48C6 @ Fairmount Park 18/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 39 · 5f Slo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 39 parC9 @ Fairmount Park 16/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 36 · 5f110y Gd 120 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 36 par16/05C9OR 36C9 @ Fairmount Park 02/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 37 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 37 parC9 @ Fairmount Park 20/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 42 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 42 par20/06C9OR 42C9 @ Fairmount Park 14/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 47 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 47 parC9 @ Fairmount Park 04/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 46 · 6f 120 · below its mark04/08/2026 · OR 46 par4/08C9OR 46projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-04Fairmount Park?7th7th0
2026-07-14Fairmount Park?3rd3rd0
2026-06-20Fairmount Park?5th5th0
2026-06-02Fairmount Park?6th6th0
2026-05-16Fairmount Park?3rd3rd0
2026-04-18Fairmount Park?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0918/0420/064/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength38%

Delivery trend +4.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20254th14/126%67%+0.40
30/09/20256th9/153%17%-0.36
14/10/20254th4/179%50%-0.29
18/04/20266th25/10%17%+0.17
16/05/20263rd12/137%50%+0.13
02/06/20266th40/10%29%+0.29
20/06/20265th20/10%20%+0.20
14/07/20263rd14/126%60%+0.34
04/08/20267th66/10%33%+0.33