9
Whatever
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 9 · OR 78
Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Ellis Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Ellis Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 30/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength48%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 01/02/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 12/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 78% | -0.09 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.41 |
| 26/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 14/09/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |