Wildwood Attack

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 5 · OR 47

Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARK

Move▼2

Strength78%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.8

Today:

Class gap: +1.7

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-04	Fairmount Park	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-07-04	Fairmount Park	?	6th	3rd	+3	7.0
2026-05-26	Fairmount Park	?	5th	2nd	+3	8.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 63/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▲

Strength59%

Delivery trend +25.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
26/05/2026	5th	7/1	63%	43%	-0.20
04/07/2026	6th	20/1	0%	17%	+0.17
04/08/2026	4th	12/1	37%	67%	+0.30