8
Chasing Seattle
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 8 · OR 44
Fairmount Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-09 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 6-9 · tight 71/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength14%
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 04/10/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 18/10/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 12/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 04/08/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 15/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |