7
Ky O Sister
4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 7 · OR 60
Fairmount Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
50%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-07 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 26/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 16/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 25/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 15/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |