8
Airo Dinero
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 8 · OR 77
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength28%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Lone Star | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-05-17 | Lone Star | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Lone Star | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-02-22 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-01-31 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 64/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength13%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 14/11/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 10/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 31/01/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 22/02/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 17% | -0.68 |
| 21/03/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 17/05/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 05/07/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 38% | -0.26 |