10
Code Of Conduct
5yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 10 · OR 72
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-10 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-10-07 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-05 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-05 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 10-10 · tight 90/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 08/05/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 01/06/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 05/07/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 05/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 07/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 22/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 83% | -0.10 |