Lution
6yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 9 · OR 57
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-06-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-04-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2025-09-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 15/07/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 06/09/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 23/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 14/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 12/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 16/06/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |