6

Bolt To Run

4yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 6 · OR 72

Finger Lakes · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength21%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Finger Lakes 12/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 74 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark12/05/2026 · OR 74 par12/05C8OR 74C5 @ Finger Lakes 27/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 72 · 1m 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 72 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 09/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 72 · 1m 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/06/2026 · OR 72 par9/06C5OR 72C8 @ Finger Lakes 23/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 69 · 1m70y Fas 122 · below its mark23/06/2026 · OR 69 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 07/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 71 · 1m 122 · below its mark07/07/2026 · OR 71 par7/07C8OR 71C8 @ Finger Lakes 21/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 71 · 1m Fas 122 · below its mark21/07/2026 · OR 71 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 11/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 70 · 1m70y 122 · below its mark11/08/2026 · OR 70 par11/08C8OR 70C8 @ Finger Lakes 09/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 68 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 68 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 23/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 68 · 1m70y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/09/2026 · OR 68 par23/09C5OR 68projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23Finger Lakes?5th2nd+3
2026-09-09Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2026-08-11Finger Lakes?6th6th0
2026-07-21Finger Lakes?4th4th0
2026-07-07Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2026-06-23Finger Lakes?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0523/0611/0823/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength73%

Delivery trend +2.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/05/20265th33/10%43%+0.43
27/05/20266th25/10%0%0.00
09/06/20266th33/10%0%0.00
23/06/20266th33/10%17%+0.17
07/07/20263rd16/116%60%+0.44
21/07/20264th16/116%40%+0.24
11/08/20266th20/10%0%0.00
09/09/20263rd25/10%75%+0.75
23/09/20265th20/10%20%+0.20