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7yo Mare · 8-7 · Draw 1 · OR 67
Finger Lakes · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-08-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-10-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-09-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-08-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-07-23 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2024 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 02/10/2024 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 22/10/2024 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 23/07/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 18/08/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 01/09/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/10/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 18/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |