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5

Big Advantage

5yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 5 · OR 69

Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

96%

Place Prob

74%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼2
Strength78%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Finger Lakes 15/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 6f Slo 121 · HIGHER CLASS15/10C6C6 @ Finger Lakes 29/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 71 · 5f110y Slo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/10/2024 · OR 71 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 20/11/2024 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 74 · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/11/2024 · OR 74 par20/11C5OR 74C5 @ Finger Lakes 28/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 58 · 5f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/07/2025 · OR 58 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 25/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 60 · 5f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/08/2025 · OR 60 par25/08C5OR 60C5 @ Finger Lakes 10/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 60 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/09/2025 · OR 60 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 26/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 64 · 5f110y Slo 124 · beat its mark26/11/2025 · OR 64 par26/11C8OR 64C8 @ Finger Lakes 31/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 67 · 6f Gd 122 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 67 par31/08C8OR 67projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2025-11-26Finger Lakes?1st1st0
2025-09-10Finger Lakes?4th1st+3
2025-08-25Finger Lakes?3rd0th+3
2025-07-28Finger Lakes?2nd-1th+3
2024-11-20Finger Lakes?7th4th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1028/0726/1131/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 63/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength94%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/10/20242nd13/266%80%+0.14
29/10/20241st7/282%100%+0.18
20/11/20247th8/158%0%-0.58
28/07/20252nd7/163%80%+0.17
25/08/20253rd10/1195%60%-0.35
10/09/20254th9/276%40%-0.36
26/11/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
31/08/20263rd14/126%60%+0.34