3
Jessica's Race
6yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 59
Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 55/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 30/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 22/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 05/11/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 19/11/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 08/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 21/07/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 09/09/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |