2
Only In My Dreams
4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 63
Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 45/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength45%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 21/07/2026 | 7th | 10/11 | 95% | 0% | -0.95 |
| 10/08/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 18/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 15/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 86% | -0.09 |