3

He Has It All

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 3 · OR 71

Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength47%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: +1.4
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Finger Lakes 15/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 77 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark15/07/2025 · OR 77 par15/07C8OR 77C5 @ Finger Lakes 06/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 83 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/08/2025 · OR 83 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 02/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 84 · 5f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/09/2025 · OR 84 par2/09C5OR 84C5 @ Finger Lakes 17/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 81 · 6f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/09/2025 · OR 81 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 27/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 84 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/10/2025 · OR 84 par27/10C6OR 84C6 @ Finger Lakes 25/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 85 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/11/2025 · OR 85 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 23/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 84 · 6f Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/06/2026 · OR 84 par23/06C6OR 84C8 @ Finger Lakes 31/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 80 · 6f Slo 122 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 80 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 21/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 72 · 6f 124 · below its mark21/09/2026 · OR 72 par21/09C8OR 72projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Finger Lakes?6th6th0
2026-08-31Finger Lakes?9th9th0
2026-06-23Finger Lakes?5th3rd+2
2025-11-25Finger Lakes?5th3rd+2
2025-10-27Finger Lakes?3rd1st+2
2025-09-17Finger Lakes?1st-2th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0717/0923/0621/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 55/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength18%

Delivery trend -6.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/07/20251st2/598%100%+0.02
06/08/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
02/09/20256th1/195%0%-0.95
17/09/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
27/10/20253rd15/261%67%+0.06
25/11/20255th7/163%0%-0.63
23/06/20265th10/147%0%-0.47
31/08/20269th9/153%0%-0.53
21/09/20266th9/488%38%-0.51