1
Mister J T
8yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 73
Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-31 | Aqueduct | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 55/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength70%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 15/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 25/11/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 31/12/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 04/02/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 21/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |