4
Gramma G G
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 4 · OR 67
Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
30%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 8-8 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -134.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 16/09/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |