1
Playingon Broadway
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 1 · OR 60
Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
30%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 55/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength64%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 25/11/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 14/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |