5
Baracudabobbi
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 5 · OR 52
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength91%
Delivery trend +10.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 05/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |