7
Sunshine Bobalou
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 7 · OR 65
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-08-05 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
| 2026-07-17 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
| 2026-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 28/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -11.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 17/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/08/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 20/08/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |