2
Wingo Starr
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 2 · OR 60
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
43%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2024-11-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-10-16 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 51/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength77%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2024 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 16/10/2024 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 06/11/2024 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 26/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 22/09/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |