1
Limit Up
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 78
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength74%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 11/02/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 18/02/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 13/03/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |
| 28/04/2026 | 1st | 2/9 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 17/08/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |