4
Muazarah
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 59
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 55/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength32%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/09/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 19/10/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/11/2025 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 06/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 09/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |