8
Sharpaz
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 8 · OR 68
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 45/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength48%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 05/08/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 15/09/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 10/11/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 28/04/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 24/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 15/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 18/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |