9
By Mink Standards
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 9 · OR 80
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 73/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength57%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 20/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 12/11/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 24/11/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 14/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 05/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 25/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 14/09/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |