4
Isola D'oro
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 75
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
68%
Place Prob
53%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-05-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 9th | −4 |
| 2026-01-04 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 10th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 59/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength66%
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 04/01/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 27/02/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 08/06/2026 | 1st | 1/6 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |