Bluesette

4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 43

Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARK

Move▼1

Strength61%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.6

Today:

Class gap: +0.9

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-26	Finger Lakes	?	6th	6th	0	4.0
2026-08-10	Finger Lakes	?	6th	3rd	+3	7.0
2026-07-21	Finger Lakes	?	1st	2nd	−1	7.8
2026-06-22	Finger Lakes	?	7th	5th	+2	4.8
2026-05-25	Finger Lakes	?	3rd	1st	+2	8.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 53/100

▼ UNDER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength31%

Delivery trend -7.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
25/05/2026	3rd	10/3	82%	67%	-0.16
22/06/2026	7th	12/1	37%	14%	-0.23
21/07/2026	1st	3/1	84%	100%	+0.16
10/08/2026	6th	12/1	37%	0%	-0.37
26/08/2026	6th	5/1	74%	29%	-0.45