Immortal Poet
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 3 · OR 52
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
34%
Place Prob
32%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Saratoga | ? | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-10-10 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 12/07/2026 | 11th | 6/1 | 68% | 9% | -0.59 |
| 03/08/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/9 | 98% | 86% | -0.12 |
| 14/09/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |