6
La Dinamita
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 6 · OR 58
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 57/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength72%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 26/03/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 63% | -0.24 |
| 05/04/2026 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 20% | -0.72 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 10/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 09/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |