2

Wildcat Annie
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 2 · OR 55
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
55%
Place Prob
41%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-03-08 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-02-15 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-01-25 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-01-01 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2024 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 01/01/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 25/01/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 15/02/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 08/03/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 25/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 22/09/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |