2
Cantucci
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 79
Fort Erie · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-15 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 70/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength89%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 15/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 21/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |